Us Politics · resolved market
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf1d76e10691e1173e3c5db4bd5dfd2699d06698fa5be9176fd9f4d47e66a99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 35c | 43,257$15,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,350.81 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 48c | 26,149$12,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,546.86 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 10c | 21,399$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.69 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 17c | 10,835$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.29 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 23c | 10,655$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,152.67 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 76c | 9,600$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.1 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed Yes | 79c | 8,831$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed No | 0c | 8,142$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 19c | 7,676$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.07 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 3c | 7,487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 74c | 6,998$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 17c | 6,790$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.18 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 40c | 6,548$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,904.57 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 77c | 6,001$4,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 63c | 5,953$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.54 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 5,827$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.61 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 72c | 5,800$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.59 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 13c | 5,082$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…0b6fbacked No | 16c | 4,940$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…3837backed No | 3c | 4,756$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…5073backed Yes | 69c | 3,058$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.55 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,906$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…8356backed No | 4c | 2,903$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b7…ec1abacked No | 1c | 2,883$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 18c | 2,804$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.47 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed No | 1c | 2,803$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…9387backed Yes | 21c | 2,698$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 25c | 2,526$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.19 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 32c | 2,476$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed No | 1c | 2,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 30c | 2,168$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.02 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed No | 12c | 2,049$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 6c | 2,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…de3cbacked No | 30c | 1,914$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 54c | 1,888$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.59 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…1fc6backed Yes | 15c | 1,800$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff05…fad7backed No | 1c | 1,736$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc62…6307backed Yes | 70c | 1,704$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 37c | 1,661$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 48c | 1,648$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.32 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 71c | 1,628$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.84 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.71 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…a1a1backed No | 21c | 1,486$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 38c | 1,482$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.93 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…e652backed Yes | 68c | 1,470$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4044…8de5backed Yes | 60c | 1,413$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.28 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 74c | 1,260$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.6 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…960bbacked No | 59c | 1,256$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 31c | 1,182$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.87 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 59c | 1,145$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,142$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,137$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.26 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 38c | 1,032$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.71 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,011$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.11 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked No | 23c | 984.2$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 61c | 967.76$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 68c | 962.26$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.45 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Yes | 70c | 960$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…9b54backed No | 3c | 880.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 29c | 872.67$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…c5ecbacked No | 33c | 841.67$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…8d97backed Yes | 76c | 838.7$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…1372backed Yes | 74c | 832.55$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed No | 33c | 799.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 50c | 769.01$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 33c | 763.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 74c | 763.16$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…ce94backed Yes | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed No | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 33c | 653.97$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.55 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…dffdbacked Yes | 17c | 603.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked Yes | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 13c | 597.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…dffdbacked Yes | 78c | 576.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 554.98$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…443dbacked Yes | 75c | 546.36$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 31c | 544.22$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked No | 14c | 523.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked No | 14c | 521.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…9457backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…d8b8backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…d8c1backed No | 20c | 496.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…ab3abacked No | 18c | 493.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked No | 37c | 487.47$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 480.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 51c | 455.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.73 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 439.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.02 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed No | 32c | 431.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…dcccbacked No | 58c | 428.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Yes | 76c | 425.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…61dbbacked Yes | 59c | 423.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…01fdbacked No | 79c | 420.73$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3c…cf9cbacked No | 27c | 415.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…b7bebacked Yes | 12c | 410.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 18cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 44c | 409.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Yes | 10c | 404.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.43 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.