Us Politics · resolved market
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa1543cdef36d55ef9126aaab6015c7c7ed5aa6a2bb5be355f5cacc2302c7374
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 389 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 23c | 3,881$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.59 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 38c | 3,569$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 11c | 3,399$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444b…add1backed No | 75c | 2,936$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 38c | 2,916$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.83 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 6c | 2,708$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.12 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 7c | 2,667$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 3c | 2,659$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 50c | 2,500$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Yes | 57c | 2,392$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +468.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 20c | 1,950$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 54c | 1,920$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.15 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed No | 56c | 1,793$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 13c | 1,749$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.32 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 20c | 1,657$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.03 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 25c | 1,596$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked No | 46c | 1,511$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…5a71backed Yes | 36c | 1,481$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed No | 61c | 1,412$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.32 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed No | 2c | 1,323$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed No | 65c | 1,262$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 13c | 1,251$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 18c | 1,229$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abe…2205backed No | 47c | 1,228$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 1,181$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 5c | 1,140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…6bb3backed Yes | 40c | 1,138$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…54e5backed No | 69c | 1,094$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 54c | 1,065$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.37 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…5579backed Yes | 76c | 1,060$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed No | 54c | 1,045$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed No | 68c | 1,009$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 69c | 999.98$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 57c | 983.48$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 50c | 899.98$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 8c | 815.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 57c | 807.95$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…0494backed No | 73c | 744.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed No | 40c | 723.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…c5c5backed No | 69c | 714.86$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed No | 3c | 710.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 678.94$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.57 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 17c | 665.85$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 48c | 655.09$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Yes | 70c | 638.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked No | 61c | 618$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…bb16backed Yes | 64c | 600$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8362…24cdbacked Yes | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed Yes | 30c | 575.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…dd39backed No | 52c | 570$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 29c | 566.08$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.29 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 37c | 563.67$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 40c | 562.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 61c | 555.63$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 54c | 550$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked No | 8c | 537.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 534.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1497…aeffbacked No | 6c | 530$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…d207backed Yes | 49c | 511.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed No | 54c | 500$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed No | 55c | 500$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 51c | 484.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…eb5cbacked No | 56c | 480$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc669…53eabacked No | 41c | 467.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 29c | 460.68$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 61c | 447.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.49 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 56c | 443.36$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…324abacked Yes | 62c | 431.57$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…5518backed No | 60c | 420$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 51c | 411.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 63c | 410.75$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f62…c924backed Yes | 42c | 408.9$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991d…ad9dbacked Yes | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…19c8backed No | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 58c | 395$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 52c | 384.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed No | 53c | 382.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…2d89backed Yes | 49c | 380$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 43c | 375.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 59c | 371.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…d6bebacked No | 9c | 341.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 45c | 335.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.04 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 78c | 320.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa66…04d1backed No | 53c | 310$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 43c | 309.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked No | 64c | 305$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked No | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 65c | 293.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…61dbbacked No | 17c | 291.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 56c | 286.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 44c | 277.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 62c | 272.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0db1backed No | 37c | 270.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 51c | 267.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 25c | 263.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes | 60c | 252.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…49b9backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.