Us Politics · resolved market

Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd483a003c3d808a900813696e441bb02285f95a07957ed938ca338814616a973

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 22, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $71,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $77,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,500 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x993c…6787backed No	59c	7,526$4,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,432.64	192	36.5%70 W · 122 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	41c	6,097$2,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.42	184	25%46 W · 138 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No	3c	5,214$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.74	176	33%58 W · 118 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	46c	4,734$2,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,562.61	130	29.2%38 W · 92 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No	50c	3,628$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,829.23	100	55%55 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No	63c	2,536$1,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,601.19	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	68c	2,400$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.97	696	34.9%243 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x712f…b93bbacked No	65c	2,041$1,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,329.76	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0afc…e1e4backed No	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	65cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c5d…4197backed No	47c	1,900$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f0…d710backed No	61c	1,840$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.3	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.29per pick	60cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes	39c	1,250$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Yes	49c	1,240$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.19	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e2d…1039backed Yes	49c	1,226$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.7	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Yes	36c	1,169$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$743.16	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	+10.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb31a…e99dbacked No	63c	1,144$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed No	61c	1,034$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.56	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed No	45c	999.99$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No	4c	938.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	114	19.3%22 W · 92 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9178…a2b2backed Yes	30c	900$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.26	283	20.5%58 W · 225 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3421…5cafbacked No	60c	887.01$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.52	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	46c	856.54$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.39	375	33.3%125 W · 250 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	51c	853.13$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.03	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No	3c	753.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+96.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Yes	40c	742.92$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$445.09	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	40c	732$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.5	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-18%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes	51c	700$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.75	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7a9…49fbbacked No	64c	672.85$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5912…5b0fbacked Yes	49c	605.77$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked No	65c	572$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.16	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	58c	552.85$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.5	996	29.5%294 W · 702 L	-73.3wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f9…2573backed Yes	47c	538.09$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	36cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22ac…7497backed Yes	38c	499.99$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd45…aaf5backed No	51c	486.89$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.18	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-4.3wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd728…5d3bbacked No	44c	457.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d75…78b9backed Yes	45c	449.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.41	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+48%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	38c	350.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.25	963	19.8%191 W · 772 L	-32.4wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dc7…d48ebacked No	65c	349.99$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	67cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6a6…ae2ebacked Yes	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a2…57febacked No	47c	330$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.5	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05dc…2965backed Yes	45c	274.56$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+124.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6e…0cf9backed No	53c	266$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.62	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	51cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Yes	44c	262.22$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.43	377	40.6%153 W · 224 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c3…1fefbacked Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+255.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	40c	256.25$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.65	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c5e…1d41backed Yes	39c	255.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.25per pick	30cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x111b…bad9backed No	14c	250.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…fd74backed Yes	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+82.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba69…0210backed No	61c	229.46$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.97	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e55…07acbacked Yes	57c	226.6$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.44	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c9…8beabacked No	64c	225.34$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.8	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07d5…709bbacked No	53c	200.77$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.96	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x897a…b17ebacked No	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-6.3wins	-0.37per pick	73cpaid	-53%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2352…bb84backed Yes	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No	66c	198.79$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.28	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+141.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No	59c	189.25$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.05	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-6.4wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd8a2…aff4backed Yes	55c	181.96$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.96	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	48c	171.56$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.03	567	33.2%188 W · 379 L	-40.9wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ae…52edbacked No	52c	170$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	68c	169.82$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.97	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…45cdbacked Yes	12c	166.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.54	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No	56c	163.9$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.42	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-5.8wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-23%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	58c	155.59$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.38	126	31.7%40 W · 86 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1088…b813backed Yes	52c	150$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.5	77	24.7%19 W · 58 L	-6.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No	55c	147.49$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.58	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-5.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c70…6504backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.40per pick	44cpaid	+98.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x150b…99d4backed Yes	44c	136.9$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.9	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+214.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…624abacked No	62c	119.38$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.32	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e9c…cd75backed No	50c	117.91$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.06	114	28.1%32 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed Yes	41c	116.28$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.22	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes	50c	113.8$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.36	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0d…5077backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6f…7e67backed No	71c	102.13$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.49	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed No	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+4.9wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5676…b103backed No	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	25	64%16 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…067bbacked No	66c	100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+8.3wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	60c	95.78$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.55	1,073	35.5%381 W · 692 L	-70.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes	51c	94.7$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.56	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9afd…3028backed Yes	49c	94.61$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.85	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c0…f7dfbacked Yes	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c3…f47abacked Yes	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+158.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9955…3ea4backed Yes	22c	88.93$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.69per pick	31cpaid	+250.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes	57c	88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.84	152	38.8%59 W · 93 L	-13.5wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf861…681fbacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.96	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2874…9fd7backed No	50c	86.68$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…947cbacked No	51c	86$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	44c	84.5$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.96	185	16.2%30 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	103	38.8%40 W · 63 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c03…12b2backed Yes	39c	75$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…0a88backed No	56c	73.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1742…38e9backed Yes	55c	72.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x749b…cdaebacked Yes	49c	72.41$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.93	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+35.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5838…3636backed No	72c	70$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Yes	17c	65.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.23	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3fc…1e14backed No	66c	60.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfa…ce5dbacked No	50c	60.41$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a6…86a7backed No	79c	59.47$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event