Us Politics · resolved market
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54c21fc36ef805f1399928af4a91b7e3ec9517b19741d1f7dfba3f0d894a7fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 3,458$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.14 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 9c | 1,998$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…05e9backed Yes | 28c | 1,762$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…812dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,574$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +340%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…359fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,439$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.85 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 79c | 1,371$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.47 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,303$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.78 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked No | 1c | 1,149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 881.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.31 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 3c | 694.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.17 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 3c | 604.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…9387backed Yes | 28c | 533.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +316.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0db1backed Yes | 80c | 442.31$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…3da7backed Yes | 7c | 409.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +650%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…2032backed Yes | 10c | 371.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +604%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…f988backed Yes | 11c | 360$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 12cpaid | +324.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…90f5backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Yes | 4c | 331.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.32per pick | 24cpaid | +320%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 315.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 13c | 313.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.14 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c788backed Yes | 9c | 263.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 9c | 252.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bc…02a7backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +457.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 11c | 176.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…fd8dbacked Yes | 12c | 171.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 17cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb436…bb3cbacked Yes | 80c | 166.02$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +10.5wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdb35…54eebacked Yes | 12c | 161.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 10cpaid | +637.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 9c | 157.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 19c | 149.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…e8cfbacked Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 69c | 129.01$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…1425backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +255.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…a839backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…8a47backed Yes | 18c | 111.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +195%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 17c | 102.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…6d4bbacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 19c | 99.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 20c | 95.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 37c | 91.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed Yes | 15c | 76.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 33c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9634…bad4backed Yes | 18c | 60.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +338.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 22c | 48.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…0439backed Yes | 22c | 47.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 25c | 46.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 78c | 42.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 78c | 40.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.