Us Politics · resolved market
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb243a8c5c98b67bce78389dd0d83a1d899f7b7a288c6fe7e1c2749078a6a55fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaae7…605fbacked Yes | 50c | 721.8$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 70c | 637.89$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…7841backed Yes | 7c | 626.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Yes | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 77c | 276.57$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 11c | 249.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 16c | 233.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 192.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…b4b9backed Yes | 18c | 192.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 70c | 159.35$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 14c | 152.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…2facbacked Yes | 67c | 150.76$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 46c | 144.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 26c | 135.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…24a1backed No | 79c | 127.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f77…4bd1backed Yes | 58c | 115.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 51c | 101.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…6436backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…548dbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7d8dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…e6debacked Yes | 22c | 99.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 22c | 92.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 80.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d3…ff72backed No | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…62debacked No | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…4cecbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…ca51backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c788backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked No | 45c | 69.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…d9bcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 42c | 61.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 50c | 59.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4071…3de4backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed No | 70c | 56.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…23febacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 70c | 47.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 58c | 45.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 60c | 42.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9076backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…f9f7backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 41c | 33.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa014…3dc4backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 57c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6140…08b0backed No | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 69c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 76c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…e5c4backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files?this page
- Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alec Baldwin be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jamie Dimon be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Kirsten Gillibrand be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Larry Page be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Piers Morgan be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Rachel Maddow be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes won
- Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
- Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.