TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab72…b70d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$1,380.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$630
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+236.3%+$803.28
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$253.72
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$629.39
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+205%+$1,024.94
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+179.2%+$1,075.15
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+373.1%+$746.23
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$413.83
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$173.83
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$120
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$308.98
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$107.56
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.31
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.65
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160.23
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$83.13
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+32.7%+$157.27
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+346.4%+$51.96
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$34.52
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$109.09
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$82.5
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+65.3%+$32.66
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+58.3%+$75.77
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.8%+$5.07
Will Marty Supreme win Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$678Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+298.5%+$2,023.75
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+34.1%+$21.28
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+59.8%+$179.53
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+70.3%+$738.43
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$166.94
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+454.4%+$2,044.59
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$541.28
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,902.47
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick19cpaid+155.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+185.7%+$139.24
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$99.95
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+214.6%+$590.07
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+421.6%+$1,583.49
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,591.6%+$670.57
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-77.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25.1%+$100.3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.7%+$116.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-52.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-28.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+292.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$139.29
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$188.1
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$237.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Penn State vs. Rutgersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kansas State vs. Utahbacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$124
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+272.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.58
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Florida Gatorsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+644.6%+$128.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.