TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,860,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,134,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,860,728 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,940 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bulls22c670,576$149,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,979.1543542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls22c634,691$139,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,995.9187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Knicks78c127,344$98,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,558.36657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks77c114,911$88,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,279.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks77c100,000$76,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,50096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bulls14c83,646$11,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,881.9830845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks78c69,000$53,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,1801,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks78c67,073$52,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,656.1528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks78c52,991$41,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,864.799,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Knicks66c50,583$33,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,218.0334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks79c50,000$39,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50019653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bulls21c49,500$10,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,39514358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks78c48,464$37,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,479.221,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks78c43,286$33,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,474.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Bulls21c43,133$9,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,057.934235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks79c33,121$26,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,044.655,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks78c31,362$24,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,848.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls17c30,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Knicks80c25,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Knicks79c23,445$18,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,923.4520551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Knicks78c22,950$17,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c7e…0a35backed Bulls17c22,520$3,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,895.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Knicks79c22,222$17,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,666.625349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks77c21,843$16,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.1338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Knicks69c21,598$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,597.573333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls22c20,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300.11,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Knicks78c20,000$15,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9821951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks79c19,342$15,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls32c18,827$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,006.114,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa898…8d2ebacked Bulls34c17,627$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Bulls22c17,505$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,851.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks77c17,500$13,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0252,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks79c17,500$13,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,72566250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…e150backed Knicks63c16,280$10,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Knicks71c15,217$10,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,430.6110158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Knicks79c15,000$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls36c14,455$5,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,213.093,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f5…1079backed Knicks66c13,011$8,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,385.865048%24 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Knicks80c13,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6003565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed Knicks79c11,969$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.236848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Knicks80c11,470$9,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.48063.8%51 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks77c11,351$8,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Knicks78c11,347$8,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.4444352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Bulls0c10,938$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.765213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Knicks80c10,564$8,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.773256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bulls19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Bulls20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Knicks78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20012547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Bulls22c10,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bulls19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Knicks66c9,159$6,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.643271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls20c8,531$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.811,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Knicks78c8,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Bulls22c8,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bulls22c8,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks78c7,502$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.962,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks63c7,399$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,711.681529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks71c7,315$5,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.371,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks72c7,162$5,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.663,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bulls20c6,995$1,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.8424549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5d…17fdbacked Knicks80c6,774$5,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.721450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Bulls20c6,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Knicks80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks80c5,771$4,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.151,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks77c5,738$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.932,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bulls3c5,696$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8764517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bulls18c5,103$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.5935450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Knicks59c5,086$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.075350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls20c5,050$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Bulls20c5,014$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Bulls40c5,012$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bulls23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls1c4,979$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.791,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks71c4,976$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.112,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks79c4,785$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.2361939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Bulls22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Bulls41c4,542$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.948530.6%26 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Bulls20c4,444$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.8641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked Knicks80c4,433$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.681050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Bulls23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Knicks76c4,164$3,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.4138540.3%155 W · 230 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Knicks77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Knicks78c3,928$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.1526842.9%115 W · 153 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Bulls42c3,916$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.8116162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Bulls22c3,901$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.2220947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Knicks78c3,760$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.218553%98 W · 87 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e5…9417backed Bulls25c3,684$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.66165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks76c3,473$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.1324151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Knicks76c3,368$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.3923833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Knicks79c3,324$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.6148956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Bulls30c3,280$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb74b…f6b7backed Knicks68c3,270$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.42759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbaa…eee2backed Bulls3c3,250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107815.4%12 W · 66 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Knicks77c3,237$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.694348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…8840backed Bulls31c3,225$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.961450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls23c3,086$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.8451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls36c3,008$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.393,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Knicks78c2,991$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.0315355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.