NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf327fd66c696aa94d4368d198074a998394e894faeb62ec045a1a28b83aa62c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 51c | 46,445$23,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,824.03 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 22,298$10,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,473.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Under | 49c | 13,310$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,791.69 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Over | 45c | 3,634$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.36 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 3,575$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 52c | 3,566$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.37 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 3,093$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 3,015$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.86 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 2,960$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,853$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 68c | 2,750$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.72 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 2,078$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 52c | 1,617$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.08 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,109$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 3c | 490.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 51c | 385.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 54c | 214.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 181.12$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.77 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…8158backed Over | 49c | 111.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 73c | 106.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 49c | 103$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -10.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 87.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 60c | 83.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 72.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Under | 52c | 58.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 58.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 49c | 56.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 49.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 37.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…8773backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 61c | 24.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 51c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Under | 50c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Knicks vs. BullsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.