NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf0057f31ec1bbb4713db8f4638a53cfdc8ee189069c29f885b6237f17262a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Knicks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls | 50c | 269,737$134,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,874.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Knicks | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks | 50c | 33,155$16,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,445.89 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bulls | 51c | 30,132$15,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,867.54 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 49c | 27,500$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Knicks | 50c | 23,971$11,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,985.71 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 50c | 18,603$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Knicks | 51c | 15,854$8,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,085.54 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 50c | 15,839$7,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,966.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Knicks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bulls | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 50c | 7,655$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.67 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 51c | 4,709$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Knicks | 50c | 4,409$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.13 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Bulls | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 47c | 3,527$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.12 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Knicks | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks | 49c | 2,873$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Knicks | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Bulls | 52c | 1,656$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.65 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 49c | 1,497$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Bulls | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Bulls | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 51c | 721$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Knicks | 50c | 691.72$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Knicks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Bulls | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bulls | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Bulls | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Bulls | 51c | 365.92$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks | 45c | 363.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Knicks | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Knicks | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 53c | 274.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Bulls | 50c | 260.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls | 62c | 248.5$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bulls | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…6fdcbacked Knicks | 47c | 213.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Bulls | 51c | 208.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Bulls | 51c | 197.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Knicks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Bulls | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fa…02bbbacked Bulls | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Bulls | 49c | 148.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Knicks | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…263ebacked Bulls | 73c | 133.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Knicks | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…f92cbacked Bulls | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Bulls | 72c | 104.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Bulls | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Knicks | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…7b83backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Knicks | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Bulls | 57c | 96.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…7cb5backed Bulls | 58c | 95.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Bulls | 51c | 80.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Bulls | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Knicks | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 41c | 69.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Bulls | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Bulls | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Bulls | 50c | 60.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Knicks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Knicks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Knicks | 48c | 57.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…293bbacked Knicks | 33c | 54.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Bulls | 51c | 53.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Knicks | 49c | 52.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Bulls | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Knicks | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Knicks | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a520backed Bulls | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Knicks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Bulls | 47c | 46.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Knicks | 42c | 44.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…6d84backed Bulls | 50c | 44.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Knicks | 51c | 44.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…8133backed Knicks | 51c | 41.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Knicks | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bulls | 48c | 39.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…eeb5backed Bulls | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Bulls | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Knicks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Bulls | 78c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Bulls | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Bulls | 51c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 34c | 31.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Bulls | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…eb45backed Bulls | 49c | 29.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Knicks vs. BullsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.