NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e4fd808f3bd98fd182763cb3d3bb340d7e625d3336c60ceeb14a43e87997fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 54c | 46,605$25,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,131.15 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 46c | 28,208$12,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,233.39 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Under | 47c | 15,886$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,419.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Over | 54c | 13,476$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 11,173$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,102$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 6,479$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.49 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 54c | 5,064$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.56 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 4,710$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.4 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 2,961$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.47 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…49cebacked Under | 47c | 2,498$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.87 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 2,262$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.26 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 2,236$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 2,227$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.58 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 2,100$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,026$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,898$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 1,748$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 1,315$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 1,300$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,217$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.18 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 1,197$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…e04fbacked Under | 48c | 939.75$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.67 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 930.14$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 882$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.46 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Under | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 47c | 587$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 500.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.33 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 151 | 54.3%82 W · 69 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 54c | 374$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 356.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 53c | 320$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 316.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 51c | 198.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 179.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 166$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 150.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 46c | 110.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked Under | 48c | 104.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 93.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 46c | 74.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 53c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 25c | 48.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 47c | 48.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked Under | 48c | 37.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…9638backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 25.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 54c | 24.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 54c | 20.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5081backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5this page
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Smith: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Knicks vs. BullsKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.