TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Knicks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$219,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls53c90,587$47,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,711.2987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Knicks48c56,002$26,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,881.197240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks46c14,470$6,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.438251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks45c14,000$6,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,339.982,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe593…cc7dbacked Knicks47c11,120$5,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,226.251457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Knicks48c10,417$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls53c10,246$5,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.7143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks47c8,589$4,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03720948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks34c8,296$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,801.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Bulls53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8201,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bulls52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Bulls52c5,895$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.559531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Bulls54c5,556$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.5620849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks46c5,183$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38470246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks47c4,866$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls66c4,187$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bulls54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls53c3,906$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.6665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks47c3,453$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks48c3,326$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.94,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks48c3,057$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.671,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Knicks47c2,650$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Bulls68c2,196$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.827064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Knicks48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Bulls54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Bulls52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9948054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bulls54c1,999$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.6543348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls53c1,852$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.83,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls52c1,804$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Bulls56c1,676$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.833571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+36.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks45c1,650$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls52c1,600$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.4250653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls52c1,600$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Knicks45c1,485$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.043,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Knicks46c1,234$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.641,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Bulls53c1,068$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3933146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48071547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls49c999.86$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.964,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed Knicks51c979.22$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+116.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks48c974.47$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Bulls54c954.46$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5528842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bulls56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Bulls54c794.42$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.433441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bulls54c788.59$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7541954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks45c777$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Knicks46c755.75$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.653132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Bulls51c698.67$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8231354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks47c696$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.781,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks47c521.18$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.922,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Bulls46c508.71$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.719954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Bulls53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23549345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks48c499.66$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.373,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks19c450$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.531,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks38c439.13$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Bulls69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12418345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3665339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Knicks49c375.93$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.776552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks43c371.36$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.091,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks46c338.57$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks49c299.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Bulls53c292.59$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5927052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9953…270fbacked Bulls54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.783250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Bulls49c273.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Knicks53c248.64$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.24151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks47c246.5$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.913,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Bulls55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2739552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa2…74ecbacked Bulls44c227.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Bulls54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.2233554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Knicks47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Knicks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Knicks49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d8…480bbacked Bulls51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Bulls52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3152242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Bulls54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1922447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9325…adafbacked Bulls54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1911754.7%64 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Bulls54c183.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5935844.1%158 W · 200 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Knicks35c152.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8274547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Bulls53c149.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6838350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Knicks21c146.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.752449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Knicks46c139.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.138242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Bulls72c134.84$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Bulls53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.088942.7%38 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Bulls53c131.73$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7310243.1%44 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Knicks47c130$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.156547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Knicks21c125.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5910623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Bulls54c113.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4221854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Knicks46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506235.5%22 W · 40 L-10.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Knicks48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025753.7%138 W · 119 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Knicks48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Bulls53c95.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.041,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Bulls54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.599445.7%43 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Knicks47c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.661939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe9…2810backed Knicks51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fad…374cbacked Bulls54c86.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7218644.1%82 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda1d…6192backed Bulls53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.916253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Bulls61c84.72$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.166966.7%46 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacae…41adbacked Knicks49c81.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.