TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3c2…6d84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VMI Keydets vs. Samford Bulldogs: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+106.2%+$20.82
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Utah Utes: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$29.43
Nicholls Colonels vs. Lamar Cardinals: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+88.7%+$51.94
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+136.7%+$54.08
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+27.1%+$7.81
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Rider Broncsbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$59.34
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54.86
VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Baylor Bears vs. Kansas State Wildcats: O/U 159.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.59
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.54
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.88
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-9.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.82
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.78
Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-9.5)backed Fresno State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$69.24
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Louisville Cardinals vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$38.05
Drexel Dragons vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Drexel Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.43
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+100%+$22.32
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$69.29
Spread: Heat (-11.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.79
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$23.32
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.64
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.31
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+134.2%+$58.64
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$95.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$49.45
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+52%+$10.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$79.13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$98.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49%+$43.67
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$89.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+61.3%+$47.14
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.96
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29.67
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+232%+$466.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.