Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2625f4e87292dcb34863ba8e102fe2bf8d0d01469f5dad78004ca564428dcadd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 60c | 200,000$119,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,027.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 40c | 102,122$40,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,848.95 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 41,616$16,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,642.5 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 19,847$7,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,574.48 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under | 41c | 15,099$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 41c | 14,699$6,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.64 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 40c | 9,705$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 40c | 9,236$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.77 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 58c | 8,316$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.56 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 40c | 7,216$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 42c | 6,602$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.94 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 41c | 6,183$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 59c | 5,537$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.17 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 59c | 1,767$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.96 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 59c | 1,458$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.63 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Under | 1c | 1,263$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 1,157$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.49 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 76c | 1,142$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.67 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 1,085$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.43 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 936.23$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 59c | 858$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 38c | 763.81$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 74c | 732.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 41c | 709.83$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 632.45$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 60c | 495.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.38 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 62c | 459.23$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.23 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 40c | 455.08$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 59c | 454.95$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 62c | 427.42$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 61c | 328.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 59c | 261.27$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 75c | 211.02$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Under | 40c | 203.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 40c | 199.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 40c | 186.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 60c | 180$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 170.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 158$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 52c | 145.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 141.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 40c | 112.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 41c | 110.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 43c | 97.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 79c | 97.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 41c | 96.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 90.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 40c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Under | 40c | 87.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 58c | 86.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 57c | 78.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 41c | 68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…cf5bbacked Over | 66c | 66.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 64.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 41c | 62.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Under | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 60c | 59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 41c | 58.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked Under | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 32c | 56.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…78b6backed Over | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.