Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe1f9847c8323df0315d2b8ea6db6fc4a6688c4ccf9ce14f609f4bfead532764
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 36c | 21,127$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,521.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 8,977$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.84 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Under | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 7,117$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 63c | 5,758$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.64 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Under | 3c | 963.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 837.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 35c | 713.53$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 37c | 680$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.4 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 36c | 668.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.91 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 36c | 611.11$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.11 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 39c | 581.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 64c | 516.29$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 62c | 499.99$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 373.7$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 360$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 37c | 230$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 37c | 225$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 44c | 206.73$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 37c | 189.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 37c | 180$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 62c | 179.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 155.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 62c | 143$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 111.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 109.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed57…83f4backed Under | 65c | 84.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 35c | 83.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 34c | 75.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 65c | 68.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 66.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 64c | 59.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 38c | 56.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 67c | 52.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 36c | 51.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 38c | 44.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 43.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 62c | 37.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 64c | 31.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 37c | 29.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…8249backed Under | 62c | 24.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 63c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…a590backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 65c | 15.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.