TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes38c12,298$4,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.162634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c8,000$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,04013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c6,642$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.134,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes30c3,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c3,406$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.291,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c2,717$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.4492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Yes40c2,710$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.856048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c2,468$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.71,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No61c2,376$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.852,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes33c1,671$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3810634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes39c1,665$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.866033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Yes7c1,494$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes37c1,340$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c797.37$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes39c669.96$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.294934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c651.31$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.113,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes36c561.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No60c397.01$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.577440.5%30 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes11c371.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3914023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb936…0a66backed No71c282.94$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…5540backed Yes11c281.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes6c278.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.761032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202924.1%7 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+92.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No64c239.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No61c209.84$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.842850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes40c202.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7111120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c193.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.671,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c189.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c184.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes39c179.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.211636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Yes60c167.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Yes60c166.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes36c160.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4712045.8%55 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…9e5fbacked Yes9c122.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4b0…bf41backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes36c121.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8714067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No40c119.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No61c112.02$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes13c111.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156446.9%30 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked No64c106.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.155759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes29c101$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409033.3%30 W · 60 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No70c95.32$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3814259.9%85 W · 57 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ac1…620cbacked Yes40c88.82$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5911740.2%47 W · 70 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216936.1%61 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed No63c79.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.362951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed No64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d5…119ebacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes21c74.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed No71c71.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755072%36 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.111,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes61c65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.656741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes40c62.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512344.7%55 W · 68 L-11.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes41c58.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2417643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes40c58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211840.7%48 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No76c55.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.334238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42817.9%5 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-66.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Yes40c48.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.449057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked No52c44.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.372250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed Yes37c42.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes28c41.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6215444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c2…6d84backed No61c40.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+27.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f0backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No33c36.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.424344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes40c35.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3914233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No61c35.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.656144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Yes33c35.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.725042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes41c34.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.071952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No61c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No68c32.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4713969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed No61c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.581283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+116%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4674backed Yes39c28.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.021315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No69c25.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.915644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x355c…81c5backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3202…b190backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf32…bd9cbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bfa…e7afbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c24.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5557252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No41c24.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1356…d4f3backed No64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.