TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3202…b190

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.41
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$20.58
Holstein Kiel vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$15
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27.33
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.75
SV 07 Elversberg vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+73.6%+$11.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+144.6%+$26.11
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+86.5%+$34.61
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+334.8%+$61.6
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.56
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.28
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$12.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.02
Sporting CP vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
FC Volendam vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.87
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.7
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.