Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbcc8d0ad9714a8c481c2bb3925d23e1b3713b74bea5d45d677bf478da01cd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,253$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 35c | 799.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 60c | 599.97$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 541.39$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 330.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 42c | 165.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 55c | 165.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Yes | 53c | 112.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…8507backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 77.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed No | 41c | 65.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…c9bebacked No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 52.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 58c | 45.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 37.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 56c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 43c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…db1dbacked No | 44c | 32.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6940…127cbacked No | 44c | 31.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 39cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes | 57c | 30.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…b190backed Yes | 54c | 27.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 46c | 25.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 46c | 25.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.