Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8056c2cec64fb53e55c3985d099676a53db06b71c2e1e536c4604dbd056264d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 3,423$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 2,298$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 53c | 948.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.75 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 778.75$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.85 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 30c | 380$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Over | 69c | 369.41$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 312.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 10c | 308.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 264.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 69c | 241.92$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 65c | 214.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 12c | 200.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 68c | 127.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Over | 41c | 123.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 120.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Under | 21c | 97.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 75c | 73.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked Over | 73c | 65.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 45.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 57c | 42.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2790…d7b9backed Under | 31c | 39.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 30c | 39.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…eff0backed Over | 71c | 38.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 53c | 30.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 70c | 14.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.