Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1d27a3e51e20ebc713d413a6176bc4443b1597fed039fbec5be82d6bed8606e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under | 49c | 14,797$7,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,547.68 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 6,346$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 3,863$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.96 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 40c | 1,342$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.83 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 49c | 805.79$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 649.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 53c | 561.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 527.82$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.19 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 497.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 49c | 480.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.9 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 208.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 202.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 195.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 53c | 189.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 51c | 185.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 29c | 173.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 47c | 146.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Over | 51c | 119.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 50c | 118.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Over | 29c | 69.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 58.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 50c | 53.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 51c | 52.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 8.3%7 W · 77 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Under | 49c | 39.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 52c | 31.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 51c | 31.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 26.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 51c | 25.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…a1fdbacked Under | 51c | 23.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 51c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Volendam vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.