Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33a967ba43adb57b8d8fad8a1b14fea87b5612b7715e8b550601e569b4502e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 44c | 6,700$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 56c | 5,449$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.59 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 2,225$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 23c | 812$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 555.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 52c | 346.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 59c | 220.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 199.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 42c | 174$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 149.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 48c | 131.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 104.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 74.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 40c | 66.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 63.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 56.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed No | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 40c | 47.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed No | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 60c | 32.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…b190backed Yes | 47c | 31.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 41c | 30.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 58c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…f40ebacked Yes | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…0cc4backed Yes | 80c | 19.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 60c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will Falkirk FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.