Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4869aee7764c4b13572dff21619f61234c2987a7d6cc28d035a7f77196aba5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 61,873$25,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,462.98 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 26,639$15,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,209.58 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 40c | 21,423$8,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,569.17 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 21,093$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,698.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 58c | 18,888$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 18,246$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,526.19 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 42c | 15,603$6,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,508.23 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 59c | 13,658$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.64 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 60c | 12,513$7,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.38 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 42c | 9,547$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.26 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 8,952$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.93 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 33c | 8,297$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.97 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 60c | 7,382$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.67 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…29c8backed No | 58c | 6,785$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 58c | 5,593$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.97 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Yes | 1c | 5,485$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 30c | 5,275$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 58c | 3,790$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Yes | 42c | 3,608$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 60c | 2,538$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.33 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 16c | 2,500$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.78 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 42c | 2,428$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.71 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,279$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,250$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 2,109$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 2,037$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.8 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,821$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.51 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 59c | 1,810$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked No | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 41c | 1,714$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.36 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 1,700$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.97 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 41c | 1,700$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 60c | 1,510$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…a578backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 59c | 1,250$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 41c | 1,107$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa993…3dcbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…8a6ebacked Yes | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 60c | 996$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 40c | 947.5$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 937.49$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 26c | 906.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…e32dbacked Yes | 43c | 899.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 35c | 858.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…1809backed No | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…e367backed Yes | 42c | 850$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed No | 59c | 846$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.86 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Yes | 42c | 828$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 814$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 41c | 800$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 42c | 757$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 23c | 719.63$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 43c | 703.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 42c | 685$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 41c | 649.7$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 40c | 642.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 642.19$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 35c | 577.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 40c | 570$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed No | 59c | 550$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 41c | 543.9$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 41c | 523.61$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 43c | 518.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 39c | 518.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Yes | 41c | 508.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681c…a6bcbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…9959backed Yes | 41c | 485.37$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 477.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 31.5%40 W · 87 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…ea51backed Yes | 41c | 473.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked No | 59c | 464.12$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…48bbbacked Yes | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f58…b523backed Yes | 42c | 450$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 41c | 446.34$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-16?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.