TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No50c26,862$13,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,329.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes26c10,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,400966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c9,775$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,305.668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c8,904$6,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,672.4698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes26c8,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9209952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes26c6,838$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.1222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes25c6,237$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.9296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes25c5,257$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.39631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes26c3,462$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.534445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No28c3,308$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.591,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No74c3,103$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.983060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No74c3,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2202250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes25c2,492$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.132330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes75c2,120$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.3549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4806142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No74c1,568$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No5c1,500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1466…3bfbbacked No5c1,495$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No7c1,482$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.93026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No33c1,311$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7424238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No75c1,250$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.51172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No80c1,250$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed Yes25c1,195$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.91540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes27c1,180$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.42466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes25c1,150$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c1,132$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.6848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No37c933.94$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f6…8906backed Yes26c908.31$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.15837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes55c886$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.343661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.23825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No6c760.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.648342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes25c711.96$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.9744753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No75c710.79$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes26c699.26$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.8615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes26c619.39$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes23c539.47$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.47540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+127.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No74c500$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36512920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No36c497.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No8c495.72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes27c493.1$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.964447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No23c450$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7820033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked No74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes70c400$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No75c392.38$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.295959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…a4cdbacked No78c382.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes26c375$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.541943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22221445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2348444%37 W · 47 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x764d…e977backed Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes80c294.95$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.922743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c275.24$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed No75c270$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No75c265.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked No77c259.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c257.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19126241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed Yes26c250$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c212.09$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes25c201.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.811146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14816251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No75c200$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1492975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14611666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes26c168.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No55c163.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fa…2353backed Yes25c152.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Yes55c143.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No73c136.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f5…a64fbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5865…696abacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked No9c120.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…79fcbacked No74c120$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Yes78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…55b0backed No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732556%14 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8538…ee29backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+64%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfb3…780ebacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe473…755abacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8596…f718backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7cc…2833backed Yes27c96.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.32556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.152650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes26c94.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.442626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae28…3da4backed No75c92.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked No75c89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.751225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No51c86.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes79c86.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes70c86.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.676744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+160.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1df7…15d5backed No74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb499…09d8backed No74c81.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f1…137cbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.921650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes27c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.754235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71d6…a929backed Yes26c74.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.