TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No67c46,183$30,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,240.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes33c10,993$3,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,627.3498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes33c9,322$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,076.1426040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c7,395$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.742,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No67c6,897$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.028941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked Yes33c6,812$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.91540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No67c5,497$3,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c4,038$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes33c3,289$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.372330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes25c2,458$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.5649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No67c2,093$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.562867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes33c1,993$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.6922348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1353…c7fdbacked No50c1,984$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c1,930$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.0268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No45c1,826$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No67c1,562$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.474447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes33c1,518$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c1,482$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.491,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes36c1,103$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No67c1,030$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.98058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No51c1,012$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.1422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x516e…9bf3backed No67c985.07$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes33c900.08$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes9c843.24$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No67c837$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.214658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No67c808$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.647656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c675$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes2c670$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c659.7$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No67c608.21$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.714971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7f…fb81backed Yes33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2101…d96dbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.517651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No48c420.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0114347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No67c392.38$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.285959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c381.12$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.586628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes9c367.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11923353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes33c345.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142025%5 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes33c305$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.141943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes33c300.02$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0121445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No65c277.29$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes33c271.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6626046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c269.17$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes8c261.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No67c254.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.14472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes32c237.91$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes33c231$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.235424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f58…b523backed Yes34c210$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6838547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No69c167$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.023661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c160.33$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7928931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked No66c151.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504060%24 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No66c151.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked No60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.636863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.546047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c145.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5812929.5%38 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89fa…2353backed Yes33c144.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No67c138.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.652080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…5592backed Yes44c132.23$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes27c128.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8920431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Yes33c122.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.323354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…c170backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes24c102.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.521735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc88…770ebacked No67c101$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccfd…23fcbacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.994850%24 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No51c99.33$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.282759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No67c97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No47c88.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.781866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes34c87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.583426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c86.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4165254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes33c76.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1513160.3%79 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No76c68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.116744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes34c67.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Yes33c62.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.767558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.