TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$514,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$528,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41bf…ff23backed Over50c185,200$92,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c9…e751backed Under50c184,200$92,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c36,346$17,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,162.5621548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.998354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c18,743$9,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,027.782,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Under49c14,906$7,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,304540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.8220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Over51c7,005$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.451369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over53c6,768$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Over53c6,500$3,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0551478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c5,476$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.4816046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c5,019$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.1998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over52c4,847$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.622250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c4,805$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.849350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c4,146$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.0138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa382…ed19backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.637358.9%43 W · 30 L+7.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under41c2,910$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick66cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over51c1,969$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.846043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed Under53c1,423$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over50c1,169$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c1,040$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.091250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7421650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c717$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.1622348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c690.15$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Under46c537.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.041118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c492.92$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5312049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Over49c404.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over77c295.97$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.073565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c292.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6156backed Over54c291.57$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over77c248.85$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8517958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c232.93$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c230.18$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.331,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over51c210.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.333652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d6…46a6backed Under50c200.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.314551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c182.12$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over51c178.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under42c171.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.892556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.78065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c149.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under46c144.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under48c131.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Under42c101$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.515632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c100.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c93.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd56d…5c46backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over67c89.27$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under49c83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.66350.8%32 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Over51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Over52c75.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.952055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9115041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed Over67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.772568%17 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over63c67.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.032060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under48c57.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7713648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.64858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over59c56.39$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9328458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under34c55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8914936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.526349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over51c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c41.04$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4515847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under47c39.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Over53c39.61$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7411348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3202…b190backed Over77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…bd53backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under47c36.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.946131.1%19 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed1…76dcbacked Under50c35.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under43c35.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2216340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc22…7e8abacked Under38c35.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Over51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6d…cc42backed Over52c34.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf86a…9ed1backed Over51c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.66812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.