Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ee35de48e54442ba91e8e72b11193147977507bad734eaf269204605c535f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd782…768bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,374$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…5db0backed No | 49c | 3,374$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 49c | 1,019$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 54c | 933.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 920.9$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 650$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.35 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 56c | 533.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 353.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 994 | 44.7%444 W · 550 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 43c | 282.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 53c | 190$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 118.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 110.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 74c | 102.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 79c | 83.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 46c | 39.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 53c | 37.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…0e1cbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…a918backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 52c | 27.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Yes | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 47c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 24.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 667 | 53.5%357 W · 310 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 80c | 17.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…6330backed Yes | 73c | 16.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.