TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,463

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No45c10,298$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,615.983,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes58c5,645$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.052,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9827726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c1,417$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.41,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes25c980.89$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.087335.6%26 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes29c484.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.421827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No46c464.2$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2249143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes59c424.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No50c397.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.955560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a0…8423backed Yes59c354$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.863633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes59c340.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006645.5%30 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf07c…9a72backed Yes60c335.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No42c306.6$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9976234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked No8c299.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.98219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes57c287.94$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9917855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No41c279.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.46331.7%20 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No53c249.55$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.371,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No41c245.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0231145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes58c241.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c213.3$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.781,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes51c185.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.585858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x714a…9dacbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003339.4%13 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes61c164.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes12c138.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes59c135.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes58c135$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.32045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes57c129$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.535644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes54c124.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes58c122.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No41c112.76$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes60c103.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629068.9%62 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x979b…ed36backed Yes40c96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.440%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.14835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…bed9backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c80$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.263645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d8…cffcbacked No41c73.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.663265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes52c73.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2211045.5%50 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014758.5%86 W · 61 L+15.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No41c61.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.791,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.410057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No65c52.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.648665.1%56 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed No43c52.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eea…c324backed Yes59c50.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef8f…78febacked Yes37c50.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0aa…13b3backed Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5876…793fbacked No41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2079…33d8backed Yes59c47.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No32c43.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7421540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes56c41.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2611543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Yes59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.63571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe795…0eaabacked No44c39.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…9c0ebacked Yes58c36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes58c34.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3202…b190backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes59c30.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.972236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Yes67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Yes71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b7…9802backed Yes55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No43c26.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.226241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes60c26.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.651758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…ead9backed Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb028…5652backed Yes59c25.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…7025backed Yes60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6940…127cbacked No41c24.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No42c23.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9224322.2%54 W · 189 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No48c21.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4420153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes51c19.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.135054%27 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113743.2%16 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8615…ada0backed Yes57c17.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.