Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82fd9670d6e8d9a0043c9c1f04c210db9b9264ac0a22e22bb5ab5cfdf9e53cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 39c | 47,039$18,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,331.32 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…962ebacked Under | 41c | 36,585$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…2e38backed Over | 59c | 19,866$11,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,144.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…6c6cbacked Over | 59c | 17,394$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 42c | 17,286$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.11 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 17,218$10,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,726.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Over | 61c | 14,382$8,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 13,128$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,765.97 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 60c | 11,667$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,666.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 60c | 10,688$6,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 60c | 8,000$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 60c | 5,833$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 39c | 4,765$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 40c | 4,017$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.62 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 61c | 3,858$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 40c | 3,059$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.33 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 60c | 3,053$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.62 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 39c | 3,000$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.22 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 64c | 2,750$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.97 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 36c | 2,380$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 41c | 2,022$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.3 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 61c | 1,440$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.9 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 58c | 1,289$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.38 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Over | 61c | 1,285$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 60c | 1,188$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 1,084$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 58c | 1,084$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Over | 62c | 961.47$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 60c | 957.57$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…db57backed Over | 60c | 820.85$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 40c | 804.28$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Over | 59c | 799.6$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 61c | 793.17$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 60c | 776.67$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Under | 41c | 675$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Under | 11c | 620.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 60c | 600$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 39c | 546.07$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 498.78$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 60c | 478.72$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 12c | 460.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 55c | 449.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 57c | 437.92$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 60c | 433.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 61c | 419.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 60c | 403.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.33 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 76c | 392.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 320.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 65c | 309.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 60c | 306.42$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 61c | 276.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 61c | 270.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 61c | 251$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 61c | 224$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Over | 59c | 199.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 58c | 191.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…30d5backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…1659backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 58c | 153.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 40c | 147$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 59c | 142.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 61c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…d200backed Over | 61c | 125.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…2c44backed Under | 42c | 111$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Over | 61c | 106.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…fc1abacked Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c1…55f3backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…4183backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.