Bundesliga · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3d661c9e8a481a846ca2cc719439e22e9d8b07f3b80e3cd60ee8b9d5b633a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 61c | 33,396$20,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,371.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 75c | 31,406$23,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,851.44 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 51c | 20,020$10,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,209.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 39c | 12,840$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 9,770$4,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 62c | 8,130$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.65 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 8,052$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Over | 76c | 7,788$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +298.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 39c | 6,330$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 6,204$2,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,977.97 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 6,181$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 78c | 5,728$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 4,458$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.03 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.96 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 37c | 3,289$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…7132backed Under | 5c | 2,737$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 35c | 2,242$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 62c | 1,345$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.88 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 77c | 1,305$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.59 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 37c | 1,200$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.71 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 3c | 1,169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 1,008$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.82 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 62c | 855.63$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.49 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 837.36$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Over | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 42c | 714.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 39c | 707.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 64c | 706.11$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 76c | 680.22$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 571$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 62c | 539$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.18 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Over | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 20c | 532.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 60c | 525.33$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 521.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 76c | 389$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 59c | 350$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 72c | 335.43$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 36c | 311.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 36c | 266.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 39c | 264.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.62 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe674…d632backed Over | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Over | 38c | 249$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 39c | 246.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 62c | 243.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 42c | 240.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 70c | 201$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…7b07backed Under | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 36c | 199.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 38c | 176.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 36c | 171.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 39c | 169.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 58c | 169.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 160$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Under | 38c | 152.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 39c | 150.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 64c | 149.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Over | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 58c | 141.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 59c | 137$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 39c | 135$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 45c | 134.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2b59backed Under | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 73c | 128.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…d200backed Over | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 39c | 115$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 69c | 112.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 39c | 112$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Under | 19c | 106.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 62c | 104.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 36c | 102.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 38c | 101.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 97.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 39c | 93.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Under | 19c | 90.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 37c | 89.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 29c | 78.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.