Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf868efc3bc4c9bb025f5071e7371f9dd31c42e09ad9868a8ba12c235cffbe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 23,269$11,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.11 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 15,621$8,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.09 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 44c | 12,419$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,954.64 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 44c | 11,357$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 10,864$5,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,803.77 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 9,106$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,600$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.01 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 8,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 45c | 6,755$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,697.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 44c | 6,534$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.09 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 34c | 5,019$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.47 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 55c | 4,382$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.32 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 44c | 3,976$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.55 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Yes | 57c | 3,400$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 2,948$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 56c | 2,831$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.51 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 44c | 2,519$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.78 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 2,323$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.38 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 2,199$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.24 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.99 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 51c | 1,952$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…534ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,707$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 56c | 1,651$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 25c | 1,380$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 56c | 1,107$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 44c | 1,100$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.21 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,056$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 3c | 1,004$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 46c | 999.61$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.9 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 53c | 918.52$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 844.63$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.12 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 54c | 745.65$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Yes | 56c | 732.14$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 56c | 645.3$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 54c | 640$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed Yes | 23c | 610$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes | 23c | 593.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 5c | 536.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…f9e2backed Yes | 55c | 529$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 43c | 499.99$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 44c | 494$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 23c | 482.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 480.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 54c | 470$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 53c | 425$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 54c | 367.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Yes | 55c | 329.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 56c | 320.43$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 46c | 299.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…127cbacked Yes | 35c | 299.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 78c | 299.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 57c | 287$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 53c | 282.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 31c | 275.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.09 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…77afbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 57c | 265$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…6470backed Yes | 57c | 253.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.71 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 12c | 253.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 52c | 252.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 36c | 230.13$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 19c | 206$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 45c | 201.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf89…90ddbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.