TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,648,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,659,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,648,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084a…fd3dbacked Yes61c1,291,436$791,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,079.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No39c223,184$86,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,382.469159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No39c184,068$71,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,622.051650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No39c106,369$41,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,447.581,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c99,398$38,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,851.3162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c91,245$39,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,009.6371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No38c89,467$34,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,231.5115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c86,886$34,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,761.0387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No40c80,999$32,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,784.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No38c66,700$25,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,2541163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No39c60,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,599.9916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd211…457cbacked No38c35,365$13,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,926.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No39c35,000$13,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,50013348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No45c33,709$15,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,539.855947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c29,935$11,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,186.9221143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No41c25,387$10,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,990.022540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…97f5backed Yes62c17,815$11,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,045.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a0…63b5backed Yes62c16,781$10,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,404.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No38c13,952$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,650.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No40c13,520$5,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1124940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No43c11,641$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.442466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c10,537$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,431.2852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked No39c10,067$3,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,150.21966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No42c9,369$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,480.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes59c7,000$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,13012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No38c7,000$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,339.85354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No39c6,010$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.16553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No39c6,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6601631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No39c5,100$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1115156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No39c4,618$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.983050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes62c4,356$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,710.633756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c4,324$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed No38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4801717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No38c3,726$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+87%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No42c3,447$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.6712957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes55c3,200$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7605538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6803655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No62c2,936$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.387741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No39c2,800$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.5729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Yes51c2,800$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No39c2,600$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5982245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes59c2,491$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.114746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes58c1,732$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+121.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Yes62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked No69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes56c1,427$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7993138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes53c1,317$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.22944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed No39c1,274$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No38c1,161$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No45c1,038$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.8318046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes63c933.33$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No38c921$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.029553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Yes50c830.62$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.312060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4965547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked Yes62c769$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes59c764$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Yes48c700$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c686.47$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.7535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes30c667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes32c643.26$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Yes62c640.9$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No39c563.8$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed No39c517.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+95.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29031049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28027244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Yes31c499.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed No42c488.1$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes40c468.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3613246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c464.77$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes61c422$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6719055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes36c421.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes61c410$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.13250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c400$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c394.7$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Yes62c387.1$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No41c371$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.411936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No38c358$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes57c356.02$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed No38c339.44$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.441656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes61c337.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1114045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes59c312$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.434841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes33c304.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1861764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+60.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes57c300$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725046%23 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c300$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c299.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9511725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No64c298.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Yes7c277.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes37c272.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked No38c266.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.53887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick44cpaid+116.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.