Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d64b487fd2579c52faa35c4acb1c5af5fa8b2db085906148452cb1f7805f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 8c | 10,000$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.64 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 18c | 2,993$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.72 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,696$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.83 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 51c | 2,671$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,666$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.34 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 16c | 2,636$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 24cpaid | +330.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 6c | 2,054$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.31 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,959$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.66 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 17c | 641.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 17c | 627.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 20c | 592.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 591.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 18c | 416.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 49c | 408.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 365.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 53c | 206.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…b091backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…2badbacked No | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 16c | 104.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 49c | 103.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 101.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 78.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 24c | 69.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Yes | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 74c | 64.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…3273backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 18c | 58.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 56.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed Yes | 21c | 53.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked Yes | 21c | 48.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…a693backed No | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…2136backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 80c | 20.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 80c | 20.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…1be3backed No | 80c | 18.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…f7eabacked No | 80c | 17.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ef…d91dbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…7b72backed No | 80c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…6899backed No | 80c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…ffccbacked No | 80c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 62cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…770dbacked No | 80c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.