TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1cdb…75db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+80.1%+$16.02
Wrexham AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+224.2%+$57.91
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+89.4%+$17.88
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.08
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.28
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.02
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dans Locmelis win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Matthew Savoie win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Andrew Cristall win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Matthew Wood win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Seamus Casey win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luca Del Bel Belluz win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Calum Ritchie win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Joakim Kemell win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Levi Merilainen win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rutger McGroarty win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will Zayne Parekh win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Owen Pickering win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Zeev Buium win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Samuel Honzek win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivica Zubac win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bam Adebayo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kris Dunn win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.03
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$10.5
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 52°F or higher on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150.3%+$33.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+224.8%+$44.96
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 39°F or below on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.94
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-81%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Scotty James (AUS) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+128%+$31.99
Will Erik Perrot (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 10km Sprint at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Einer Hedegart (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Friedrich Moch (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Niko Anttola (FIN) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Victor Lovera (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Martino Carollo (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Florian Notz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Gabriela Rusebacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Hailey Baptiste vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Argentina Open: Ignacio Buse vs Sebastian Baezbacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.82
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+82.5%+$41.25
Rotterdam Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Cameron Norriebacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+296.9%+$148.46
Rotterdam Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+105.9%+$14.2
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+101.2%+$19.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+733.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick9cpaid+319.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-37.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$28.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+107%+$26.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase say "Bitcoin" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adolescence win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.