TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c32,792$24,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,439.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over32c21,690$6,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,985.6423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over53c12,596$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,664.262,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c9,974$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.9119253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c5,287$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.742,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c2,000$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.994445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf988…f5f6backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over24c1,001$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.769035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c892.84$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.482,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c735.21$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2752454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under51c309.21$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5210874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1629749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c287.27$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1588746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over37c269.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under50c244.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2137342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over51c208.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…fb61backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over54c190$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.114166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c184.55$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.431,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under48c179.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1724844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c172$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.161,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Over16c164.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.281625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d1c…7573backed Over47c155$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under75c133.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.734557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over51c124.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2714551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under67c121.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under52c114.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8215558.1%90 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over51c99.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9812047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Under58c97.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.094663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over51c97.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under51c81.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7910036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Under50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Under48c77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.041553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over42c73.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315932.2%19 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Under48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.642658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over54c64.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0740942.1%172 W · 237 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over48c63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.247341.1%30 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc4…413dbacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0a1…1c72backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over49c45.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3116357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c41.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under47c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.47651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.614648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over40c39.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8518139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Over49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Under48c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25158.8%30 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Under50c33.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.836045%27 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd9…1d58backed Under50c32.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb549…12debacked Over34c31.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.643737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9c…8d2ebacked Over51c30.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Under51c30.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8519154.5%104 W · 87 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Under50c30.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.255250%26 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.916060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb359…c49cbacked Over51c29.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c29.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.845949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dcc…04a2backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd396…2870backed Under50c27.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over49c24.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2839052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d07…c592backed Over49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ec…06aabacked Over52c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.5wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-59.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8f10…ad5dbacked Under52c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Over52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under52c21.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3928246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over51c20.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46544.6%29 W · 36 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.