Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e3176dee7e87d46e4acb3cabfaba553f0528d069f8c86b6c0c90a9b42bbb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 8,287$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.95 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 52c | 4,328$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.32 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.59 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…c5fcbacked No | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,840$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.15 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,531$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.56 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 40c | 1,248$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed No | 49c | 1,191$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Yes | 51c | 1,144$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed No | 47c | 787.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 664$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked No | 49c | 418.63$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3204…7ac1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 53c | 300.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 48c | 210.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.61 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…737bbacked No | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 52c | 196.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 52c | 167.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 54c | 164.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bd53backed Yes | 52c | 157.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 49c | 139.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 48c | 123.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 43c | 121.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…4487backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 54c | 92.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 70.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 55.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked No | 49c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e3…0ca1backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.