Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a9f8ed6ee8120768b10ed0e967234f7dffcdf3892bd7b7d1a7251aca1b9b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,257$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.85 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 77c | 1,298$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,100$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Under | 43c | 1,023$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.61$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Over | 36c | 895.68$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.22 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 843.55$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.46 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 69c | 724.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 22c | 532.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.65 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 440.51$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 413.01$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.64 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 78c | 388$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 352.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.87 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 44c | 275$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 78c | 226$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 46c | 217.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -12.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 65c | 170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 26c | 165.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 22c | 161.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.94 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Over | 18c | 155$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 23c | 117.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Over | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ef3abacked Over | 55c | 109.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 58c | 108.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 100.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 51c | 80.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…d654backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 71.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 71.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 68.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…fc33backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…12debacked Over | 68c | 56.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Over | 55c | 54.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 26c | 50.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 51c | 49.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…f379backed Over | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Over | 61c | 43.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 36.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 50c | 28.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…68d4backed Over | 67c | 27.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 49c | 24.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 76c | 20.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 75c | 14.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.