TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d8e…841d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+73.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$30.45
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.55
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+809.1%+$89
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+86.6%+$45.92
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+88.5%+$47.63
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Everton FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$29.72
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+300%+$57
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+119%+$14.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+593.7%+$350.9
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+260%+$65
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$66.4
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.4
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.48
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$234.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.