Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d712543d8cdaebf39b2d4c375bcf3c60bbfb7c69022160c914836937f41b6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 26,673$14,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,299 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 12,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 40c | 5,010$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 77c | 3,897$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 3,279$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.71 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 76c | 2,000$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.3 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 1,848$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 1,740$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 54c | 1,333$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d8…dd09backed Over | 68c | 1,147$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 55c | 1,014$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 39c | 999$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 794.82$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Over | 73c | 677.87$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 27c | 661.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Under | 3c | 603.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 50c | 568.22$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 63c | 547.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 66c | 454.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 73c | 454$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 77c | 448.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 66c | 436.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 409$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…c943backed Over | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 23c | 341.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…35a1backed Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 311.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…a076backed Over | 38c | 290.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 42c | 290$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 279.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 59c | 274.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 23c | 259.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 43c | 253.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.59 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 24c | 229.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 36c | 220$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 10c | 208.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 32c | 199.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 138.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 76c | 129.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 76cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 127.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 15c | 114.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 106$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 23c | 98.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 97.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 24c | 95.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Over | 55c | 90.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Over | 73c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 28c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 24c | 69.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8636…d3c7backed Over | 77c | 60.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 22c | 56.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 56c | 54.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 25c | 51.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…30d9backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 65 | 83.1%54 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed Over | 76c | 47.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 52c | 46.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…c7e4backed Over | 60c | 44.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…2866backed Over | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…dae7backed Over | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…2856backed Over | 69c | 33.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 76c | 32.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 31.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 68c | 30.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…841dbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.