Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04c957b1d1bdc6a7f9db0f5da954675fba506cb47b074459e98192ef2113f447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 8,375$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 55c | 4,017$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 44c | 3,731$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.96 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 3,563$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.32 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,724$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.93 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 1,443$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 1,277$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 56c | 899.89$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.95 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 57c | 877.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 56c | 642.86$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 593.62$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.06 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 57c | 543.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 56c | 518.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 43c | 454.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 55c | 433.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes | 53c | 412.85$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 397.84$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.79 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 55c | 365.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 44c | 338.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 57c | 308.77$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 54c | 302$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 269.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 269.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.86 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…70e1backed No | 45c | 222.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…fbb7backed Yes | 55c | 214.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 210.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f70…8c80backed Yes | 56c | 203.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 50c | 184.93$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 56c | 180.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Yes | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 57c | 150.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 56c | 149.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 56c | 125.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 41c | 108$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 210 | 41.9%88 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 45c | 94.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…be53backed No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 88.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…4bfabacked Yes | 59c | 84.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…67f5backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 45c | 66.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 57c | 64.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a7…7a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 43c | 56.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +771.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 55c | 52.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 45.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 52c | 40.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…de49backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…bcfcbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…413dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 44c | 34.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcc…de88backed No | 45c | 33.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…6ef8backed Yes | 56c | 31.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Yes | 58c | 31.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.