Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718d76cdbf21e845a9dec774bff39f50fde0c36364c5d3aba34874ab1bfb8c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 51c | 467,940$240,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,470.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 142,115$68,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,970.99 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 70,000$34,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,173.52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Over | 48c | 60,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 40,000$19,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,400 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 38,632$18,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,929.73 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 22,799$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 52c | 18,781$9,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 14,216$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.16 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 9,999$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.69 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 9,811$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807.27 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 40c | 8,999$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.72 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 8,260$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Over | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 6,300$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.36 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 51c | 5,991$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.32 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 51c | 5,741$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…d211backed Over | 51c | 4,571$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 50c | 4,081$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 3,495$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.4 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 48c | 2,988$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,880$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.07 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…390bbacked Over | 51c | 1,758$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 36c | 1,751$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.27 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 50c | 1,689$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 1,590$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.83 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 49c | 1,459$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 1,439$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 1,300$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.99 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 49c | 1,207$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…e339backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 941.61$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 51c | 861.33$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Over | 49c | 860$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 48c | 763.25$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 4c | 755$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Under | 52c | 578$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…42f1backed Over | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…9207backed Under | 49c | 542.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 51c | 529.41$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 425.87$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Over | 47c | 425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…827fbacked Over | 48c | 416.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Over | 51c | 399.57$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…5df8backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 51c | 376.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 28c | 359.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 49c | 335$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 49c | 328.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 320$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 20c | 300.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 51c | 287.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 50c | 267$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 34c | 265.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Over | 4c | 264.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 48c | 251.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 47c | 251$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 29c | 242.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 230.76$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 215.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 49c | 214$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 49c | 213.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 49c | 213.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 50c | 200.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…bd56backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 52c | 187.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.