TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee25…5abd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Weather, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.75
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$13.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.88
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$9.06
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.9
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+68.8%+$39.21
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$56.71
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.3%+$44.81
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47.49
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25.8%+$4.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53%+$11.21
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$385.99
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.73
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.7%+$271
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$5.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Liverpool FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.05
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+25%+$12.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.15
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+107.8%+$17.68
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$70.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.2
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$2.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick59cpaid+99.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$9.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$6.48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+172%+$117.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C on February 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29%+$4.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+967.9%+$99.69
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on February 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.44
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+57.2%+$56.07
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.4%+$9.13
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$41.06
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$214.98
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$25.49
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$284.55
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+319.3%+$582.54
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.9
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$112.43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.42
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick66cpaid-73.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$7.75
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.07
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$12
All 5 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ole Miss (-7.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18.35
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23.55
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$10
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.31
St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.84
Will PSV win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+229.2%+$422.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.