TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof G2, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$972,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,148,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed G259c94,806$55,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,780.1712649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION47c53,678$25,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,408.853,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked PARIVISION42c49,021$20,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,643.1313633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G249c47,121$22,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,867.61,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION44c45,561$20,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,523.9115050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed G249c38,383$18,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,788.9533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G250c35,652$17,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,825.910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked PARIVISION46c33,091$15,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,763.9221251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed G256c30,063$16,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,866.0841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed G251c28,556$14,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,555.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed PARIVISION45c22,000$9,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,104.422755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G256c20,000$11,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,181.6181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed PARIVISION44c18,000$7,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,081.8722142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked G20c17,291$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9213315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9670…9786backed G258c16,385$9,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,503.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked G244c15,517$6,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,888.144928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed PARIVISION49c13,213$6,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,774.3310739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked G256c12,479$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.215245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…36b9backed PARIVISION45c11,200$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,159.973327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION43c11,110$4,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,324.7528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed G254c10,955$5,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,923.7975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed PARIVISION43c10,440$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,950.9137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.8719645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked G251c9,223$4,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,706.9683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION47c8,702$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.2522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G257c6,667$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.1972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION49c6,655$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,361.3865650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked G257c6,152$3,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,492.4676058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7dcc…96d2backed G20c6,019$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G252c5,524$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.71,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed PARIVISION42c5,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.9935153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G254c4,994$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.081,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION43c4,841$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.6227133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed G258c4,822$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,79711252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION48c4,700$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,445.955236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked PARIVISION44c4,440$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.84163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION44c4,300$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40819455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G264c4,128$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed G228c4,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.071,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked PARIVISION42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3204546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked G257c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2805644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed G269c3,718$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.6834156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed G256c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION39c3,462$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.641,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed PARIVISION44c3,440$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.42171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed PARIVISION41c3,402$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.6113347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed PARIVISION50c3,360$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.8621055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed G253c3,200$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.1796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked G252c3,157$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.9913065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed G251c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98cd…61f9backed PARIVISION36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked PARIVISION42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed G248c2,605$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.0726046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked G249c2,554$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.4415441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G251c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2751,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed G249c2,461$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.0846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION42c2,380$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.6516846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked PARIVISION43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.3226045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked PARIVISION39c2,264$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.174143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed G255c2,240$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.3846843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed G258c2,222$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.767256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked PARIVISION34c2,216$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.4614046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked G224c2,195$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5169548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G277c2,184$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.881,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed PARIVISION44c2,150$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2049565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed PARIVISION21c2,146$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.4910244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed G262c2,126$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.3529647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed PARIVISION49c2,070$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.723852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G252c2,033$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3584…e59dbacked G255c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe08…10ebbacked G256c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.991163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed G253c1,992$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.887929.1%23 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d5…8ea7backed PARIVISION75c1,986$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION54c1,977$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.6837646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed G257c1,975$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.1722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed PARIVISION43c1,900$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked G261c1,807$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked PARIVISION43c1,800$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked PARIVISION20c1,784$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.3910251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked PARIVISION40c1,759$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.1127452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae57…45e2backed PARIVISION32c1,727$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.91911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x639c…8960backed PARIVISION43c1,700$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2088…2cafbacked G257c1,700$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION66c1,628$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.0158961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ae9…0801backed PARIVISION45c1,567$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb02…8ddebacked PARIVISION45c1,565$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed G238c1,549$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.130335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed G253c1,512$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.0439239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87097040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe98e…a046backed PARIVISION41c1,499$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G217c1,449$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.532,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed PARIVISION26c1,447$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0665,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed PARIVISION35c1,405$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.5828344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x666d…03d1backed G26c1,394$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed G217c1,300$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.59243.5%40 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed G266c1,287$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4720050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69aa…e28bbacked G259c1,283$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.812755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked PARIVISION44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed PARIVISION52c1,240$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3824944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.