CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a435d405acd635ebe6f44f77fd0ccd0d092f314b0a3657a13fa726b80f4827a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 50c | 11,316$5,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.47 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed Under | 50c | 5,068$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 1c | 3,978$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 50c | 2,169$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.39 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 680$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Under | 50c | 532$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 51c | 493.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Under | 56c | 143.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 49c | 106.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 57c | 87.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…03d1backed Under | 27c | 73.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 62.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 51c | 52.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 42c | 41.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Over | 58c | 37.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 53c | 37.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Under | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.