TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Veretennikovof Price, Veretennikov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Veretennikov69c184,036$126,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,120.9819154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Price31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,0004847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Price31c63,999$19,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,835.491225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Price30c26,764$8,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,027.7914558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Veretennikov70c25,271$17,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,598.1822259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Price31c10,000$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.9930039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Price31c9,361$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.599636.5%35 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Price32c5,021$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Veretennikov70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50012052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Veretennikov72c3,235$2,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.2430964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed2e…2c74backed Price32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Veretennikov72c2,254$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.364465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Price28c2,232$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62515641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Veretennikov70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008655.8%48 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718c…50eabacked Price29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Price30c1,866$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.6635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Veretennikov70c1,824$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.287233.3%24 W · 48 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Price30c1,624$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.2937152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Veretennikov69c1,492$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5253956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Veretennikov71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0610…5d4dbacked Price1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102020%4 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dbc…d4adbacked Price28c999.93$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.984050%20 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Veretennikov69c861.65$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1128849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Price29c820.42$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Veretennikov71c754.76$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.521247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Veretennikov69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Price30c634$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.220933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Price29c606.19$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.821044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Price28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Price28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-71.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Price31c527.2$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4312147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Veretennikov70c372.56$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.778856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Price29c358$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.822937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Price29c320$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick32cpaid-86.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf3d3…e8e1backed Veretennikov70c285.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.783966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Veretennikov71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Veretennikov70c273.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.131855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Price30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c62…d8d6backed Price31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Price29c254.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.739240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Price31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.513636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Veretennikov71c238$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0210270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Price28c211$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0818038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Veretennikov70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608964%57 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Veretennikov70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606451.6%33 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Price28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Price31c160.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.914649.3%72 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Veretennikov70c156$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.819544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Veretennikov72c148.94$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.75263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0a9…4841backed Veretennikov70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Veretennikov72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8926569.4%184 W · 81 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Veretennikov72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Price31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Price31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4957…f25ebacked Price31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-66.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Price31c123.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.174630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Price29c120$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Veretennikov71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.683661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Veretennikov71c112.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.689558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Price31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318348.2%40 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Veretennikov71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297671.1%54 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Price29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Price29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29147.1%1 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick33cpaid-84.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Price31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e1…eb3dbacked Veretennikov70c97.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Price31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Veretennikov70c94.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2910961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Price31c83.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8713647.1%64 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Veretennikov71c83.04$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2710762.6%67 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c6…234cbacked Price31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Price28c75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Price29c74.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7510451.9%54 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Price32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312546.4%58 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Veretennikov70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c6…f4e2backed Veretennikov71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4222568.9%155 W · 70 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…7352backed Price31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7914…4ce6backed Price31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206741.8%28 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcebe…0720backed Veretennikov69c62.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Veretennikov71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.424851.2%127 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Price28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick35cpaid-82.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x246f…b5aabacked Price31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.052035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Veretennikov71c53.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.396660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444c…51f6backed Veretennikov72c52.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Price31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165450%27 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ca…1d2fbacked Veretennikov70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157368.5%50 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Price30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159644.8%43 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Price31c48.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Price29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-80%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Price28c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Price29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Price29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Price29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921520%3 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Price28c48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-80%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Price28c43.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Price28c39.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0af…6fc6backed Veretennikov70c36.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Price29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fa…3d88backed Veretennikov71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Veretennikov71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78df…b894backed Veretennikov71c34.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.