TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof FaZe, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,276,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,459,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,276,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked FaZe65c200,000$130,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,00039249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Astralis35c186,736$65,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,378.6121051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis62c158,960$98,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,404.6542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked FaZe38c137,547$52,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,436.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked FaZe64c112,326$71,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,888.4311146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Astralis36c103,354$37,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,112.717363%46 W · 27 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Astralis36c57,878$21,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,820.922245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis53c41,884$22,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,857.1383652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Astralis61c34,592$21,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,573.4333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9713backed Astralis37c34,092$12,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,477.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked FaZe38c26,316$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00013633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FaZe43c24,031$10,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,317.393,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed FaZe45c21,683$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7506752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed FaZe63c21,665$13,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,553.387256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FaZe62c18,888$11,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,710.4888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Astralis37c17,761$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,189.374100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+177.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa23c…9d96backed FaZe63c17,639$11,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,112.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed FaZe64c16,738$10,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,662.3122448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2813…a50fbacked FaZe63c16,453$10,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,365.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Astralis36c16,000$5,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,239.9171645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Astralis61c15,352$9,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,965.2535153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Astralis36c15,324$5,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,742.8672453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb29…e532backed Astralis42c14,111$5,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,250.962245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed FaZe64c13,997$8,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,947.912648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FaZe54c13,000$7,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,046.8919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed FaZe64c12,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Astralis38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,20018350.8%93 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9937946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis36c10,000$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,422.491,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Astralis37c9,385$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,884.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe458…3436backed FaZe65c9,278$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3202…ad05backed Astralis35c9,083$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,903.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+127.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc68d…2fe8backed FaZe38c8,523$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.685129.4%15 W · 36 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Astralis40c8,145$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,886.8115245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Astralis38c8,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00014934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Astralis52c8,000$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8207940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked FaZe38c7,807$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis37c7,500$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,724.9712441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab3…12b2backed FaZe63c7,129$4,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,491.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Astralis37c7,000$2,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,409.8812449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked FaZe38c6,800$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.955455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FaZe38c6,579$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Astralis36c6,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.9628538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8c…d09dbacked Astralis41c6,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked Astralis37c5,827$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.032250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed FaZe64c5,593$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9935236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Astralis62c5,500$3,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,09021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked FaZe63c5,370$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,382.973432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked FaZe63c5,294$3,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed FaZe61c5,108$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10113347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf403…e176backed Astralis38c5,023$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.32875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Astralis35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2501181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked FaZe63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1505644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Astralis35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.942619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid+31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6286…5307backed Astralis38c4,851$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x632a…ac85backed FaZe63c4,851$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,056.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed FaZe63c4,809$3,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.6124846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FaZe54c4,792$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,596.1142142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked FaZe63c4,737$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ac…3e47backed Astralis38c4,675$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.458564.7%55 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8a…3baabacked FaZe65c4,615$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FaZe54c4,475$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.941,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c56…0ca2backed FaZe65c4,461$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FaZe62c4,372$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.8329046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked FaZe38c4,293$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.8712153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed FaZe63c4,061$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.1528453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Astralis38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303b…53cabacked FaZe3c4,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FaZe35c3,848$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.491,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FaZe29c3,837$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.121,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis61c3,784$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.8864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed FaZe64c3,725$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.9413850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Astralis38c3,683$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.5996545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis36c3,667$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,332.522,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Astralis61c3,563$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.193151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis48c3,527$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.4759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Astralis38c3,382$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.064548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed FaZe64c3,347$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.032755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FaZe48c3,275$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.947738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis47c3,255$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.8432552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked FaZe38c3,226$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22610446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FaZe37c3,084$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.612,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked FaZe66c3,030$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FaZe31c2,891$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.384,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked FaZe64c2,865$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.872060%12 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed FaZe63c2,846$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.826147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…6d26backed FaZe65c2,800$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c0…2d9fbacked FaZe65c2,780$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8071258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FaZe30c2,755$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.083,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed FaZe37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.016830.9%21 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed FaZe63c2,700$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7016536.9%24 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Astralis34c2,647$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.7167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis36c2,611$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.1120539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Astralis38c2,606$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.435354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed FaZe39c2,603$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0153951.3%20 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FaZe15c2,570$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.093,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FaZe39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00075758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked FaZe65c2,555$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.752867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Astralis37c2,550$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.974163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis36c2,480$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.21,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.