CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d390682a9240be39fbee7312dc532ec34057df128dc08c19ad4c08815d26c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 912.91$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 49c | 853.93$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.5 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 59c | 610$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 45c | 537.69$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.96 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 55c | 527.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Over | 49c | 410.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 34c | 378$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.48 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 51c | 272.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 193.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 47c | 128.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…375ebacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 67.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 49.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…cf14backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…e975backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 49c | 36.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Over | 36c | 36.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 54c | 33.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 52c | 31.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 37c | 27.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.