CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068429d7a71b9600c586d51f1ad641726adf12ebc6964cbd340f662e5be27f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof FaZe, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed FaZe | 38c | 2,558$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FaZe | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 61c | 1,574$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.96 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked FaZe | 33c | 1,453$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.31 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Astralis | 66c | 1,055$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked FaZe | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis | 61c | 962.32$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.3 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 66c | 907.5$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FaZe | 38c | 753.02$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Astralis | 69c | 730.48$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Astralis | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed FaZe | 38c | 659.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Astralis | 62c | 635.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…c327backed FaZe | 34c | 548.33$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 180 | 60.6%109 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Astralis | 67c | 544.71$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed FaZe | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Astralis | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Astralis | 65c | 471.52$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Astralis | 66c | 454$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed FaZe | 34c | 436.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 448 | 48.4%217 W · 231 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed FaZe | 34c | 414.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed FaZe | 33c | 399.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed FaZe | 38c | 394.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astralis | 62c | 362.25$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Astralis | 66c | 301.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Astralis | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Astralis | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FaZe | 34c | 263.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed FaZe | 39c | 232.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Astralis | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Astralis | 63c | 170.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FaZe | 34c | 160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed FaZe | 37c | 136.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FaZe | 33c | 135.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked Astralis | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…923cbacked FaZe | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FaZe | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Astralis | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Astralis | 66c | 76.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Astralis | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Astralis | 63c | 47.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FaZe | 33c | 45.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…ae85backed Astralis | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Astralis | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked FaZe | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…26c4backed Astralis | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Astralis | 65c | 32.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f51…1a83backed Astralis | 65c | 32.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked Astralis | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c8cbacked Astralis | 65c | 26.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Astralis | 64c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Astralis | 62c | 24.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…861bbacked Astralis | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Astralis | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.