TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa1c5…e975

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 64 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+107.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Nuno Borges vs Coleman Wongbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Qatar Open, Qualification: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Billy Harrisbacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$46.64
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Gabriela Rusebacked Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$58.8
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+117.4%+$167.4
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+488.2%+$49.8
Mboko vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Khachanov vs. Munar: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.37
Argentina Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$42.16
Dimitrov vs. Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+117.4%+$52.92
Osorio vs. Siniakova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+76.1%+$109.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-63.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.6
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+75.5%+$77.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$54.4
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66%+$116.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.