Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fe59899858d87b8a76911932f1b34a5dca9e5339ef29497e75c24373b572f55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mannarinoof Walton, Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Walton | 34c | 15,084$5,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,178.67 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Walton | 3c | 14,999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Mannarino | 71c | 13,478$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.5 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton | 15c | 12,011$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.43 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mannarino | 59c | 8,789$5,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.74 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Walton | 41c | 7,805$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Walton | 36c | 5,381$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Mannarino | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…919bbacked Mannarino | 59c | 3,775$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Walton | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.99 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mannarino | 55c | 3,210$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.44 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Walton | 46c | 2,958$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.64 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Walton | 46c | 2,484$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Mannarino | 58c | 2,255$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.89 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Mannarino | 58c | 2,220$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.6 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mannarino | 54c | 2,210$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.27 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Walton | 46c | 2,181$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.07 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Mannarino | 70c | 2,136$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.94 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Walton | 42c | 2,094$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.34 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Mannarino | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Mannarino | 77c | 1,800$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Walton | 45c | 1,779$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.75 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Walton | 27c | 1,747$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Walton | 41c | 1,479$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.34 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mannarino | 59c | 1,467$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.7 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Mannarino | 57c | 1,283$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.6 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mannarino | 80c | 1,275$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.81 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Walton | 18c | 1,261$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.87 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Walton | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walton | 42c | 1,162$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.03 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Walton | 47c | 1,103$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.38 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Mannarino | 58c | 1,081$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.24 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Walton | 42c | 1,074$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.12 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Walton | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Mannarino | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Walton | 40c | 991$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.94 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Walton | 1c | 986.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Walton | 41c | 835.42$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino | 67c | 831$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Mannarino | 78c | 815.78$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Walton | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed Walton | 42c | 721.42$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.52 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mannarino | 60c | 649$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Walton | 8c | 627.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Mannarino | 54c | 624.91$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.15 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Walton | 17c | 597.53$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Walton | 9c | 581.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Walton | 17c | 553.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…9912backed Walton | 16c | 542.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Mannarino | 56c | 542.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.71 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Walton | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Mannarino | 55c | 459.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Walton | 22c | 457.41$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Walton | 40c | 438$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mannarino | 73c | 431.83$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Mannarino | 59c | 428.58$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.91 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Walton | 43c | 400.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino | 68c | 398$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Mannarino | 56c | 397.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…0a11backed Walton | 40c | 393.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mannarino | 65c | 326.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Walton | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Walton | 44c | 318.17$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Mannarino | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Walton | 44c | 272.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Mannarino | 74c | 269.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Walton | 49c | 268.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Walton | 5c | 266$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Mannarino | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Mannarino | 77c | 240$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Mannarino | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Walton | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Walton | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Walton | 42c | 226$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Walton | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Walton | 43c | 216.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Mannarino | 56c | 208.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Mannarino | 56c | 208.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Walton | 44c | 204.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Walton | 49c | 204.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Walton | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Mannarino | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Mannarino | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Mannarino | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Walton | 48c | 177.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Mannarino | 56c | 174$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.11 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Walton | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mannarino | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Walton | 36c | 160.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Walton | 42c | 159.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Walton | 45c | 151.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Walton | 44c | 150.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Walton | 38c | 142.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Walton | 43c | 137.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino | 61c | 132.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Mannarino | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Walton | 46c | 124.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Mannarino | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Mannarino | 59c | 113.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Walton | 43c | 109.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Walton vs MannarinoMannarino won
- Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.