TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Adam Walton vs Adrian Mannarino

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mannarinoof Walton, Mannarino
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8df8…59ddbacked Walton34c15,084$5,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,178.6724438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Walton3c14,999$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.976541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Mannarino71c13,478$9,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.56841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton15c12,011$1,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.4393055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mannarino59c8,789$5,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.7448851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Walton41c7,805$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Walton36c5,381$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.137,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Mannarino54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3005644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa844…919bbacked Mannarino59c3,775$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Walton43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.9932637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Mannarino55c3,210$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.445860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Walton46c2,958$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.6426545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Walton46c2,484$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.4211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Mannarino58c2,255$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.8911560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Mannarino58c2,220$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.63647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mannarino54c2,210$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.2778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Walton46c2,181$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.0747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Mannarino70c2,136$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.943658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Walton42c2,094$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.3476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Mannarino54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9209242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Mannarino77c1,800$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41410954.1%59 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Walton45c1,779$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.7533241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Walton27c1,747$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.752,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Walton41c1,479$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.3410541%43 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Mannarino59c1,467$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Mannarino57c1,283$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mannarino80c1,275$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.8181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Walton18c1,261$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.872,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Walton38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4561,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walton42c1,162$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Walton47c1,103$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.3816830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mannarino58c1,081$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2446553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Walton42c1,074$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.126439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Walton45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Mannarino79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106165.6%40 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Walton40c991$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.9410739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Walton1c986.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Walton41c835.42$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.321,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mannarino67c831$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.011,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Mannarino78c815.78$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.316648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Walton45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3608143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Walton42c721.42$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.529135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mannarino60c649$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.24,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Walton8c627.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.182,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Mannarino54c624.91$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.155858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Walton17c597.53$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3513923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Walton9c581.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Walton17c553.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.821,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeec…9912backed Walton16c542.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Mannarino56c542.18$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7124229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Walton42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Mannarino55c459.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Walton22c457.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.636835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Walton40c438$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.27,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mannarino73c431.83$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.562,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Mannarino59c428.58$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Walton43c400.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0765840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mannarino68c398$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Mannarino56c397.59$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.122564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe600…0a11backed Walton40c393.39$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.58825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mannarino65c326.29$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.332,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Walton46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Walton44c318.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4152037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Mannarino58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12626247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Walton44c272.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.11,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Mannarino74c269.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Walton49c268.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.525152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Walton5c266$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.369249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Mannarino58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6227749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Mannarino77c240$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8631153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Mannarino55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10818636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Walton43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Walton44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.29643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Walton42c226$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Walton46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Walton43c216.6$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1443749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Mannarino56c208.91$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Mannarino56c208.61$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.081,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Walton44c204.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Walton49c204.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005056%28 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Walton43c202.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8754450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Mannarino80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4058438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Mannarino54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.416146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Mannarino55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8250952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Walton48c177.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8518932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Mannarino56c174$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1155241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Walton45c173$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Mannarino61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Walton36c160.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.671540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Walton42c159.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.431,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Walton45c151.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6113138.9%51 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Walton44c150.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2212147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Walton38c142.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Walton43c137.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5911454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mannarino61c132.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2349143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Mannarino76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Walton46c124.39$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Mannarino53c119.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.458753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Mannarino59c113.66$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.610757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Walton43c109.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.412952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.