TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084c…8ce8backed No62c252,475$157,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,744.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c106,147$43,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,277.463,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c43,643$16,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,252.291,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c38,356$14,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,910.821,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes38c15,197$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,360.8156547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c11,494$4,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.952,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes39c8,058$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,915.398752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes36c3,356$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.237935.4%28 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No18c1,980$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.499646.9%45 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No61c1,950$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.58037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes39c1,923$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes42c1,846$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c1,600$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6449143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes38c1,534$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.5256951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c1,350$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.031,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745c…15fcbacked Yes42c1,085$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008251.2%42 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No31c868.26$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.047129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes42c785.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9517652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes41c758.54$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5434547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes67c757.12$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.851070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes42c750$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43512651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No24c564.34$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9524541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa206…0f9bbacked No14c544.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.828124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes39c507.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.455058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3054465.9%29 W · 15 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed No59c474.58$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802969%20 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No60c407.58$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8910051%51 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc610…fd2dbacked Yes41c399.35$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10511252.7%59 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes42c297.72$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9539857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe724…1938backed Yes40c295.43$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.261861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes38c287$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.9418545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes41c285.94$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9110728%30 W · 77 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes39c250.9$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.525850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe52…99febacked Yes40c243$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes42c238.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4217549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.11861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes42c226.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0911843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No29c220.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1253645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes73c215.26$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.089856.1%55 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes38c207.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2348146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes42c202.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.388251.2%42 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1184032.5%13 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c199.97$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes48c185.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1c5…e975backed Yes66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes69c159.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.698541.2%35 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No9c129.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.588939.3%35 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.875100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes42c128.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.482236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.958858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.267958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5811543.5%50 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.241931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed Yes38c75.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.812152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3928…78d0backed Yes41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.173959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes42c69.05$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0518140.3%73 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014a…eaa7backed Yes42c59.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c58.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8528822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No41c58.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes39c57.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.37666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+89.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes42c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.327341.1%30 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes40c53.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b8…c5cabacked Yes42c52.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes53c50.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.914934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…439ebacked Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes41c46.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.634860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe530…175ebacked No26c44.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b90…c258backed Yes71c41.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.974273.8%31 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Yes40c38.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.922941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4620436.3%74 W · 130 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes41c37.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.168950.6%45 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ff…f376backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Yes49c36.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.691258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.595356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c00…1c78backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+62.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c33.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.244655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca2…77febacked Yes66c33.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No60c28.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.256055%33 W · 27 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c7…d4fcbacked No47c26.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c25.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1178248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe579…ba5ebacked Yes45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.742483.3%20 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe038…7e6abacked Yes66c24.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes76c22.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5139558.7%232 W · 163 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes76c21.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2800…c9d2backed No59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0410865.7%71 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6528…8aefbacked Yes67c17.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.81656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No61c17.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.786470.3%45 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.