TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2800…c9d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.2
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Nets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$17.7
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$16.1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58.28
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+129.5%+$53.04
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$51
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-56.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.24
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.77
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.7
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.